PredictPulse
Every pick
on the record.
Marcus predicts every EPL and Champions League match. Hits and misses stay public.
50
Predictions
30%
Accuracy
0.722
Brier Score
Updated 9 Oct 2026 · Full record →
Strong models land around 55–65% accuracy over a season. Brier below 0.22 is competitive.
Matchweek 5
12 matchesSaturday, 19 September 2026
EPL · MW5FT
Miss
Picked:ChelseaResult:3–0
Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Aston Villa at 43% confidence
2–3Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Everton at 54% confidence
1–0Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5
Marcus's pickCRYSTAL PALACE
47
Leeds United28%
Draw25%
Crystal Palace47%
Full analysis
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Brighton at 47% confidence
3–0Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Miss
Picked:Hull CityResult:2–1
Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5
Marcus's pickMANCHESTER CITY
70
Manchester City70%
Draw19%
Sunderland12%
Full analysis
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Coventry City at 50% confidence
0–1Full analysis + result
Sunday, 20 September 2026
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Liverpool at 44% confidence
0–1Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Manchester City at 69% confidence
5–3Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Miss
Picked:Crystal PalaceResult:0–0
Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Miss
Picked:Manchester UnitedResult:1–1
Full analysis + result
Full time
8 latestEPL · MW5FT
Miss
Picked:Manchester UnitedResult:1–1
Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Liverpool at 44% confidence
0–1Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Manchester City at 69% confidence
5–3Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Miss
Picked:Crystal PalaceResult:0–0
Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Coventry City at 50% confidence
0–1Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Everton at 54% confidence
1–0Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Called itMarcus picked Brighton at 47% confidence
3–0Full analysis + result
EPL · MW5FT
Miss
Picked:Hull CityResult:2–1
Full analysis + result
0.75
Market signal weight
De-vigged bookmaker odds, the best single predictor
0.25
Stat model weight
Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson, fit on 5 seasons of EPL data
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